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  • The Next Big Theme: April 2025

    Apr 23, 2025

    View all Ido Caspi's ArticlesIdo CaspiIdo Caspi
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    Defense Tech

    Sweden Moves to Boost Defense Expenditures

    Sweden announced plans to increase its defense spending by $30 billion, aiming to allocate to 3.5% of its GDP to defense by 2030, up from 2.4% currently. The increase is part of Sweden’s largest rearmament initiative since the Cold War, driven by concerns over reduced U.S. support for European security. Sweden also increased its budgeted financial aid to Ukraine for 2025 from SEK 25 billion to SEK 40 billion, or approximately $2.5 billion to $4 billion. To fund these initiatives, the government plans to raise loans amounting to SEK 300 billion, or about $27.5 billion, by 2035. These moves align with a broader trend among European Union nations to boost military spending in response to evolving security challenges. Germany, for example, has significantly increased its defense budget and is permanently stationing troops in Lithuania for the first time since World War II.1 

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    U.S. Infrastructure

    America Receives Its Highest Infrastructure Score Ever

    The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) released the 2025 version of its quadrennial Report Card for America’s Infrastructure. The country’s overall grade rose to a C in 2025, up from a C- in 2021, with the uptick in federal and state funding helping to bolster scores across several segments. The C is the highest overall grade received since ASCE issued its first report card in 1988. The latest report, however, emphasizes that significant, sustained investments into U.S. infrastructure are necessary for it to improve and garner an acceptable level, which is a B grade. The Energy, Aviation, Transit, Roads, Dams, and Wastewater segments scored in the D range, meaning they have “Poor, At Risk” status and require significant attention. The ASCE estimates $9.1 trillion is needed over the next decade for the U.S. to improve the quality of its infrastructure assets. Segments with the highest investment needs include Energy, Roads, Schools, Wastewater, and Drinking Water.2 

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    Artificial Intelligence

    AI Players in a Product and Revenue Sprint

    At its annual GTC AI Conference, Nvidia introduced the Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin, its most powerful AI chips to date amid escalating demand for AI applications. Set for release later this year, the Blackwell Ultra offers a 50% performance improvement over current models. The Vera Rubin platform, expected in 2026, will deliver even greater advancements, and in 2027, the release of Vera Rubin Ultra should offer 14 times the computing performance of Blackwell.3 On the private venture side, OpenAI expects its revenue to triple from $3.7 billion in 2024 to $12.7 billion in 2025 as adoption of its products has continued to grow rapidly. In March, OpenAI rolled out a new image generator in ChatGPT with enhanced picture editing, text rendering, and spatial representation.4 OpenAI competitor Anthropic’s annualized revenue reached $1.4 billion in March, a 40% increase from $1 billion at the end of 2024. At that rate of growth, projected 2025 revenue for Anthropic is between $2 billion and $4 billion.5  

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    HealthTech

    Generative AI Lends a Helping Hand in Healthcare Documentation

    Novo Nordisk, the maker of Ozempic, is using generative AI to transform its pharmaceutical documentation processes. After implementing Anthropic’s AI model Claude 3.5 in autumn 2023, Novo Nordisk reduced the time required to compile regulatory documents from 15 weeks to under 10 minutes. Documentation tasks that previously involved over 50 employees and took several months are now managed by just three people in minutes. Also, Novo Nordisk has not only accelerated the preparation of clinical study reports for drug approvals, but it has also minimized errors through retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), a technique that reuses previously approved formulations. Notably, Novo Nordisk has not reduced headcount as part of this transformation. Instead, the company is reallocating personnel to other departments to enhance its overall efficiency. This type of generative AI deployment exemplifies how it can help healthcare streamline critical processes, accelerate innovation, and, ultimately, improve patient care.6

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    Cybersecurity

    Growing AI Adoption Has Increased Cyber Investments

    Google reached an agreement to acquire Israeli cloud security startup Wiz for $32 billion, its largest acquisition ever. Founded in 2020, Wiz reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in just 18 months. In 2024, the company serviced over 40% of the Fortune 100 companies and reached $500 million in ARR, largely fueled by the advancing cyber and AI threat landscape.7 AI workloads require scalable and resilient cloud environments, making security a critical differentiator in the cloud market. The acquisition, a major response to these evolving demands, enhances Google’s security posture and appeals to enterprise customers with increasingly complex needs. The deal also reflects a broader trend among big tech firms to bolster their cloud offerings through acquisitions, partnerships, and infrastructure investments, particularly as AI accelerates digital transformations across industries.

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    Global Infrastructure

    Infrastructure Investments are on the Rise Globally

    ​Germany has established a €500 billion special infrastructure fund to be invested over the next 12 years, aimed at modernizing energy, transport, and digital networks. This initiative allows for additional investments in infrastructure beyond the usual debt constraints, with €100 billion allocated specifically for state-level projects, particularly in heating and energy networks. The fund aims to ensure that these investments are supplemental, requiring the federal budget's investment share to exceed 10% of expenditures in each financial year.8 Similarly, ​for its 2025 budget, the Indian government has allocated over ₹11.5 lakh crore for capital expenditure, emphasizing infrastructure development to stimulate economic recovery. This includes the establishment of a ₹1 lakh crore Urban Challenge Fund to support urban redevelopment projects. The budget also focuses on enhancing connectivity via significant investments in railways, highways, and ports.9  

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    THE NUMBERS

    The following charts examine returns and sales growth expectations by theme, based on their corresponding ETFs or indices.

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    KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST RESEARCH FROM GLOBAL X

    To learn more about the disruptive themes changing our world, read the latest research from Global X, including:

    • Why HealthTech? Why Heal?
    • How Agentic AI Could Catalyze Cloud Computing
    • Four Companies Supporting America’s Electrification
    • Rearming Europe Boosts Defense Tech
    • CleanTech: Critical to Energy Security

    ETF HOLDINGS AND PERFORMANCE

    To see individual ETF holdings and current performance across the Global X Thematic Suite, including information on the indexes shown, click these links:

    • Disruptive Technology: Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (AIQ), Blockchain ETF (BKCH), Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF (BOTZ), Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), Cloud Computing ETF (CLOU), Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF (DRIV), Data Center & Digital Infrastructure ETF (DTCR), FinTech ETF (FINX), Video Games & Esports ETF (HERO), Lithium and Battery Tech ETF (LIT), PropTech ETF (PTEC), Defense Tech ETF (SHLD), Internet of Things ETF (SNSR), Social Media ETF (SOCL), U.S. Electrification ETF (ZAP)
    • Consumer Economy: Millennial Consumer ETF (MILN), E-Commerce ETF (EBIZ), Genomics & Biotechnology ETF (GNOM), Aging Population ETF (AGNG), HealthTech ETF (HEAL)
    • Infrastructure & Environment: U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE), CleanTech ETF (CTEC), Renewable Energy Producers (RNRG), Clean Water ETF (AQWA), Hydrogen ETF (HYDR), Solar ETF (RAYS), Wind Energy ETF (WNDY), AgTech & Food Innovation ETF (KROP), Infrastructure Development ex-U.S. ETF (IPAV)
    • Digital Assets: Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS), Bitcoin Trend Strategy ETF (BTRN)
    • Multi-Theme: Dorsey Wright Thematic ETF (GXDW)

    Appendix: Thematic Expected Sales Growth Graph Indices

    AgTech & Food Innovation: Solactive AgTech & Food Innovation Index

    Aging Population: Indxx Aging Population Thematic Index

    Artificial Intelligence & Technology: Indxx Artificial Intelligence & Big Data Index

    Autonomous & Electric Vehicles: Solactive Autonomous & Electric Vehicles Index

    Blockchain: Solactive Blockchain Index

    Clean Water: Solactive Global Clean Water Industry Index

    CleanTech: Indxx Global CleanTech Index

    Cloud Computing: Indxx Global Cloud Computing Index

    Cybersecurity: Indxx Cybersecurity Index

    Data Center & Digital Infrastructure: Solactive Data Center REITs & Digital Infrastructure Index

    Defense Tech: Global X Defense Tech Index

    E-Commerce: Solactive E-commerce Index

    FinTech: Indxx Global FinTech Thematic Index

    Genomics: Solactive Genomics Index

    HealthTech: Global X HealthTech Index

    Hydrogen: Solactive Global Hydrogen Index

    Infrastructure Development ex-U.S.: Global X Infrastructure Development Ex-U.S. Index

    Internet Of Things: Indxx Global Internet of Things Thematic Index

    Lithium & Battery Technology: Solactive Global Lithium Index

    Millennial Consumer: Indxx Millennials Thematic Index

    PropTech: Global X PropTech Index

    Renewable Energy Producers: Indxx Renewable Energy Producers Index

    Robotics & Artificial Intelligence: Indxx Global Robotics & Artificial Intelligence Thematic Index

    Social Media: Solactive Social Media Total Return Index

    Solar: Solactive Solar Index

    U.S. Electrification: Global X U.S. Electrification Index

    U.S. Infrastructure: Indxx U.S. Infrastructure Development Index

    Video Games & Esports: Solactive Video Games & Esports Index

    Wind Energy: Solactive Wind Energy Index

     

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    Category:Thematic Growth
    Topics:
    Defense Tech,
    Infrastructure,
    Artificial Intelligence,
    Healthcare,
    Cybersecurity

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